Demand power forecasting with data mining method in smart grid

Seunghyeon Park, Sekyung Han, Yeongik Son

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

Nowadays increasing electricity demand is a key issue. As the demand is increasing day by day, obtaining energy efficiency is also getting important. Hence developing accurate demand forecasting methods is crucial for ensuring energy efficiency through efficient system operation. In this paper, we suggested a demand forecasting method with data mining techniques. We proposed a hybrid method which combined K-means clustering, Bayesian classification and ARIMA. Most of the previous research tried to solve this issue from supply side management but here in this paper the proposed forecasting model works on consumer side. Case study has been carried out with actual load profile from Jeju island, South Korea. The minimum error rate is 0.1853 from proposed Hybrid Model. The performance of the proposed model was also compared with the Neural Network based forecasting. The comparison shows better performance of proposed model compared to Neural Network.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia
Subtitle of host publicationSmart Grid for Smart Community, ISGT-Asia 2017
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1-6
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781538649503
DOIs
StatePublished - 8 Jun 2018
Event7th IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia, ISGT-Asia 2017 - Auckland, New Zealand
Duration: 4 Dec 20177 Dec 2017

Publication series

Name2017 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia: Smart Grid for Smart Community, ISGT-Asia 2017

Conference

Conference7th IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies - Asia, ISGT-Asia 2017
Country/TerritoryNew Zealand
CityAuckland
Period4/12/177/12/17

Keywords

  • Classification algorithms
  • Demand forecasting
  • Neural networks
  • Pattern clustering
  • Smart grids
  • Time series analysis

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