Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017

Shinya Tsuzuki; Hyojung Lee; Fuminari Miura; Yat Hin Chan; Sung Mok Jung; Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov; Hiroshi Nishiura

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710

Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017

Shinya Tsuzuki
, Hyojung Lee
, Fuminari Miura
, Yat Hin Chan
, Sung Mok Jung
, Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov
, Hiroshi Nishiura

Hokkaido University
The University of Tokyo

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

35 Scopus citations

Abstract

Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.

Original language	English
Article number	17-00710
Journal	Eurosurveillance
Volume	22
Issue number	46
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710
State	Published - 16 Nov 2017

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710

Cite this

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abstract = "Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5\%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.",

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Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017

Abstract

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