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Machine Learning and Forecasting Approaches for Predicting Natural Gas Consumption

  • Nematullo Rahmatov
  • , Jinsol Kwon
  • , Jonghyeon Bae
  • , Kyunghee Seo
  • , Hyerim Jeon
  • , Jiwoong Jeon
  • , Eunjeong Jo
  • , Hoki Baek
  • Kyungpook National University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This paper explores the application of machine learning (ML) and forecasting algorithms for predictive modeling of natural gas usage. The study investigates various methodologies to effectively predict natural gas consumption patterns, leveraging historical data and meteorological factors as predictors. Key ML techniques such as Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and other forecasting techniques such as Facebook's Prophet, and the Holt-Winters Method (HWM) algorithm are employed in combined manner to develop accurate models capable of forecasting future gas demand. The results demonstrate the efficacy of these approaches in enhancing predictive accuracy, offering insights into optimizing resource allocation and energy management strategies. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive modeling in the energy sector, highlighting the potential for improving efficiency and sustainability in natural gas usage.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICTC 2024 - 15th International Conference on ICT Convergence
Subtitle of host publicationAI-Empowered Digital Innovation
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages2021-2026
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9798350364637
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024
Event15th International Conference on Information and Communication Technology Convergence, ICTC 2024 - Jeju Island, Korea, Republic of
Duration: 16 Oct 202418 Oct 2024

Publication series

NameInternational Conference on ICT Convergence
ISSN (Print)2162-1233
ISSN (Electronic)2162-1241

Conference

Conference15th International Conference on Information and Communication Technology Convergence, ICTC 2024
Country/TerritoryKorea, Republic of
CityJeju Island
Period16/10/2418/10/24

Keywords

  • Forecasting algorithm
  • Machine learning algorithm
  • Model evaluation
  • Natural gas
  • Predictive modeling
  • Time series data

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