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Mid-term electricity load prediction using CNN and Bi-LSTM

  • M. Junaid Gul
  • , Gul Malik Urfa
  • , Anand Paul
  • , Jihoon Moon
  • , Seungmin Rho
  • , Eenjun Hwang
  • Kyungpook National University
  • Korea University
  • Sejong University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

64 Scopus citations

Abstract

Electricity is one of the critical role players to build an economy. Electricity consumption and generation can affect the overall policy of the country. Such importance opens an area for intelligent systems that can provide future insights. Intelligent management for electric power consumption requires future electricity power consumption prediction with less error. These predictions provide insights for making decisions to smooth line the policy and grow the country’s economy. Future prediction can be categorized into three categories, namely (1) Long-Term, (2) Short-Term, and (3) Mid-Term predictions. For our study, we consider the Mid-Term electricity consumption prediction. Dataset provided by Korea Electric power supply to get insights for a metropolitan city like Seoul. Dataset is in time-series, so statistical and machine learning models can be used. This study provides experimental results from the proposed ARIMA and CNN-Bi-LSTM. Hyperparameters are tuned for ARIMA and neural network models to increase the models’ accuracy, which looks promising as RMSE for training is 0.14 and 0.20 RMSE for testing.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)10942-10958
Number of pages17
JournalJournal of Supercomputing
Volume77
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

  • ARIMA
  • BI-LSTM
  • CNN
  • Mid-term power consumption
  • Neural network

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