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Predicting Solar Magnetic Activity from Sph and Seismic Parameters Using Random Forest Regression

  • Kyungpook National University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We investigate the potential of using the photometric magnetic proxy Sph and seismic parameters, such as the frequency of maximum power (νmax) and the large frequency separation (Δν), derived from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Variability of Solar Irradiance and Gravity Oscillations observations to predict the 10.7 cm solar radio flux, a widely used index of solar magnetic activity. A random forest regression model is trained and tested on time series divided into multiple temporal subsets and input parameter combinations. The model achieves strong predictive performance (R2 > 0.92) across configurations and significantly outperforms a classical linear regression model. Our results show that Sph effectively captures long-term variations, while the seismic amplitude parameter H max is more responsive to short-term fluctuations. Combining Sph with the full set of seismic parameters yields the highest accuracy and offers a promising approach for diagnosing activity in other solar-like stars where direct magnetic field measurements are infeasible.

Original languageEnglish
Article number99
JournalAstrophysical Journal
Volume992
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 10 Oct 2025

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