TY - JOUR
T1 - Probabilistic typhoon hazard and sensitivity analysis for nuclear power plant sites in Korea using logic tree
AU - Kim, Gungyu
AU - Kwag, Shinyoung
AU - Choun, Youngsun
AU - Eem, Seunghyun
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2024/11
Y1 - 2024/11
N2 - There has been an increase in typhoon intensity, and high-intensity typhoons can affect the safety of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Typhoons can damage the structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of NPPs, causing core damage and the release of radioactive materials into the environment. Therefore, design criteria for the effects of natural phenomena are demanded to ensure the safety-critical SSC functions of NPPs. Also, there is a need for safety assessments of typhoons in operational NPPs, which require typhoon hazard analysis. In this study, we derived typhoon hazards for NPPs in Korea using Logic Tree and Monte Carlo simulations. We performed sensitivity analysis on the typhoon hazards based on the distances (up to 100 km) from the NPP sites. Among other NPP sites, the typhoon hazard of the Kori site showed the highest wind speed, and the Hanul site showed the lowest wind speed. The uncertainty of the wind speed increased as the recurrence interval of the typhoon hazard increased. We compared the typhoon hazard in the areas of interest to that within 100 km. The range of the distance deviation for the Hanbit site's typhoon hazard was within μ±σ up to 75 km, while for the other sites, it was within μ±σ up to 100 km.
AB - There has been an increase in typhoon intensity, and high-intensity typhoons can affect the safety of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Typhoons can damage the structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of NPPs, causing core damage and the release of radioactive materials into the environment. Therefore, design criteria for the effects of natural phenomena are demanded to ensure the safety-critical SSC functions of NPPs. Also, there is a need for safety assessments of typhoons in operational NPPs, which require typhoon hazard analysis. In this study, we derived typhoon hazards for NPPs in Korea using Logic Tree and Monte Carlo simulations. We performed sensitivity analysis on the typhoon hazards based on the distances (up to 100 km) from the NPP sites. Among other NPP sites, the typhoon hazard of the Kori site showed the highest wind speed, and the Hanul site showed the lowest wind speed. The uncertainty of the wind speed increased as the recurrence interval of the typhoon hazard increased. We compared the typhoon hazard in the areas of interest to that within 100 km. The range of the distance deviation for the Hanbit site's typhoon hazard was within μ±σ up to 75 km, while for the other sites, it was within μ±σ up to 100 km.
KW - Logic tree
KW - Monte Carlo simulation
KW - Probabilistic typhoon wind hazard assessment
KW - Sensitivity analysis
KW - Wind hazard curve
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85198930378&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.pnucene.2024.105347
DO - 10.1016/j.pnucene.2024.105347
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85198930378
SN - 0149-1970
VL - 176
JO - Progress in Nuclear Energy
JF - Progress in Nuclear Energy
M1 - 105347
ER -