Prognostic value of preoperative N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in non-cardiac surgery of elderly patients with normal left ventricular systolic function

Aim: We investigated the prognostic value of preoperative N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in non-cardiac surgery in elderly patients who showed normal left ventricular function on preoperative echocardiography. Methods: We analyzed 1459 patients aged older than 70 years who had consulted a cardiologist for the evaluation of cardiovascular risk for non-cardiac surgery. Of the 721 patients who simultaneously underwent echocardiography and NT-proBNP assessments, 506 who showed normal left ventricular systolic function were included. The predictive power of NT-proBNP for the risk of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) was evaluated. Results: MACCE occurred in 40 (7.9%) of the 506 patients, and the median value of NT-proBNP was higher in patients with complications than in those without (MACCE group: 1700.5 pg/mL vs non MACCE group: 206.35 pg/mL; P < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.804 (P < 0.001), with an optimal cut-off of 425.3 pg/mL. Multivariate analysis showed that increased NT-proBNP (>425.3 pg/mL; odds ratio 6.381; P < 0.001) was the only independent risk factor for the prediction of MACCE. Conclusions: In elderly patients who showed normal left ventricular systolic function on echocardiography, measurement of preoperative NT-proBNP concentration might be a useful test for predicting the occurrence of MACCE after non-cardiac surgery. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2016; 16: 1109–1116.