Robust test for structural instability in dynamic factor models

Byungsoo Kim, Junmo Song, Changryong Baek

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a robust test for structural breaks in dynamic factor models. The proposed framework considers structural changes when the underlying high-dimensional time series is contaminated by outlying observations, which are often observed in many real applications such as fMRI, economics and finance. We propose a test based on the robust estimation of a vector autoregressive model for principal component factors using minimum density power divergence. The simulations study shows excellent finite sample performance, higher powers while achieving good sizes in all cases considered. Our method is illustrated to the resting state fMRI series to detect brain connectivity changes.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)821-853
Number of pages33
JournalAnnals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
Volume73
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2021

Keywords

  • Dynamic factor models
  • High-dimensional time series
  • Minimum density power divergence
  • Outliers
  • Parameter change test

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